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Trade War Games (Review of How To Win a Trade War)

This blog post will offer a brief review of "How To Win a Trade War," by famous podcasters and think tankers/journalists Chad Bown and Soumaya Keynes. I wanted to post something in time for their official book launch (which is today), but I only got the book
Simon Lester 20 May 2026 8 min read

Guest Post: Takeaways from Recent U.S.-China Trade Deals

This is a guest post by Bryan Riley, Director of the National Taxpayers Union’s Free Trade Initiative Details of the Trump Administration’s recent deals with China have yet to be released, but a few key goals have been announced by the White House.  ✔ China will meet its 2025
Simon Lester 19 May 2026 2 min read

Assigning Blame for Trade Imbalances

Finance professor Michael Pettis writes often about trade imbalances, and as I've followed what he has to say on this subject over the years, I've tried to figure out where exactly he and I disagree.
Simon Lester 15 May 2026 4 min read

Collective Restraint vs. Unilateral Action vs. Collective Action in the Face of Overcapacity/Non-Market Policies

There was an interesting exchange at last week's WTO General Council meeting, as Korea submitted a communication entitled "Preserving the spirit of open and predictable trade: Collective restraint against actions undermining trade liberalization." In this communication, Korea raised concerns about the response of other governments to
Simon Lester 13 May 2026 6 min read

Guest Post: Section 301 on Forced Labor - A Closer Look at the Public Hearings

The Section 301 Investigation on forced labor has reached the stage of the public hearings. Between April 28 and 29, around 60 representatives of countries, business associations and non-governmental organizations offered their input to inform the USTR determination following the initiation notice.
Simon Lester 11 May 2026 8 min read

Tracking Goods Exports under the Trump Administration's Trade Policies

My sense is that one of the reasons some traditionally pro-trade members of Congress have continued to support Trump's trade policies, despite misgivings they may have about tariffs, is because they hope these policies will pry open foreign markets, leading to increased US exports.
Simon Lester 07 May 2026 8 min read

Could Congress Extend the USMCA for Another Term?

People have been assuming that the decision on whether to extend the USMCA for another term is up to President Trump, but based on the language of the USMCA related to the upcoming joint review, could Congress actually have the power to make this decision on its own?
Simon Lester 04 May 2026 4 min read

A WTO-Compatible Climate Club that Solves our Climate Problem

We argue that the inability of the Paris Climate Agreement to stop the increase in carbon dioxide emissions is because its “name and shame” approach ignores the science of the requirements for an effective international cooperative agreement on climate policy.
Petros C. Mavroidis, David G. Tarr 30 Apr 2026 7 min read

Is There No Going Back on Trade? What Is the Path Forward? A Response to Lighthizer

Former U.S. Trade Rep. Bob Lighthizer has a new essay in Foreign Affairs, and I have some thoughts. I'm going to start with his brief big picture points on the direction of U.S. trade policy, and then go through a couple of the specific concepts he emphasizes.
Simon Lester 27 Apr 2026 6 min read

The Section 301 Excess Capacity Investigation Needs Less Madness, More Method

Shortly after the Supreme Court ruled President Trump’s emergency tariffs under IEEPA  unconstitutional, the administration scrambled to rebuild its tariff wall. While the announcement of Section 122 tariffs immediately following the ruling will provide a temporary patch, the U.S. Trade Representative’s office quickly began to utilize another
Inu Manak, Milan Chander 24 Apr 2026 6 min read

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Why Section 338 Does Not Work in a GATT/WTO World: Lessons from Trade Law History

On July 21, 2026, President Trump exercised his authority under Section 338 of the Tariff Act of 1930 (hereinafter Section 338) to impose the maximum amount of additional tariffs (fifty per cent) on Canadian cars, alcohol, and dairy, owing to his determination of Canada’s discriminatory treatment of US exports.
23 Jul 2026 10 min read

EU WTO Reform Proposal Seeks To Extend Accession-Based State Enterprise Rules To All Members

In a new WTO reform paper entitled "Further Reflections on Disciplines, Subsidies and Industrial policy," the EU argues for stronger WTO disciplines on the behavior of state enterprises.
17 Jul 2026 5 min read

Governments Make Their Case Against Section 301 Forced Labor Tariffs

Last month, USTR made a determination in its Section 301 investigation into "Acts, Policies, and Practices of Various Economies Related to the Failure To Impose and Effectively Enforce a Prohibition on the Importation of Goods Produced With Forced Labor."
10 Jul 2026 5 min read

How Should the EU Get Tough with China? Unilateral Action vs. WTO Complaints

I've seen several recent calls for the EU to get tougher in its economic relations with China, along with arguments that it has been too slow to act against the Chinese economic threat.
06 Jul 2026 4 min read

Trump Administration Decides Not To Extend USMCA for Another Term: What Does That Mean Exactly?

Today, as part of the first joint review of the USMCA, the three governments held a virtual meeting.
01 Jul 2026 4 min read

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