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Modelling the Benefits of Trade Agreements

I'm as skeptical about estimates of gains/losses from trade agreements as I am about trade polling.  How many jobs will be added/lost?  How much will GDP rise/fall?  I'm not sure there are any good answers out there, although I think economists should keep
Simon Lester 02 Jun 2015 3 min read

Trade Polling

Generally speaking, I don't think much of the polling done on trade issues.  The questions are too vaguely worded to tell us much.  So, I'm never sure what to make of news reports like this one: Most Americans say they support new trade deals, according to
Simon Lester 31 May 2015 2 min read

More Plain Packaging

This time from Norway: Norway’s Ministry of Health and Care Services has proposed the imposition of a requirement for all tobacco products to be sold in standardized packaging, according to a World Trade Organization notification. It has not been decided when the measure should be adopted or when it
Simon Lester 31 May 2015 5 min read

Financial University Organizes Conference on Russia and the WTO

On 19-20 May 2015, the Financial University of the Russian Federation held its first international conference on the topic of "WTO Law in the Legal System of the Russian Federation: Problems of Application and Teaching."  To my knowledge, this was the first international legal conference held to
Charnovitz 25 May 2015 2 min read

TPA is Half Done

The Senate half is done.  From Reuters: President Barack Obama scored a major victory on Friday when the U.S. Senate voted to give him "fast-track" powers that would help wrap up negotiations on a 12-nation Pacific Rim trade deal central to projecting American influence in
Simon Lester 24 May 2015 2 min read

Plain Packaging Litigation is Everywhere

Now it's in the UK and EU: Two of the world's biggest tobacco companies have challenged the legality of the UK government's plain packaging regulations. British American Tobacco and Philip Morris filed legal objections at the High Court in London on Friday. They claim
Simon Lester 24 May 2015 2 min read

Long Liberalization Periods

This is from "The Puzzle of Agricultural Exceptionalism in International Trade Policy", by Michael Trebilcock and Kristen Pue: ... Hence, in explaining the resilience of the agricultural sector to efforts to liberalize trade in agricultural products we are left with a rather untidy amalgam of some elements of normative
Simon Lester 24 May 2015 1 min read

Norway's Draft Model BIT

Norway has just published a new draft model BIT. It offers some explanations here.  Here are some of my thoughts on a few of the provisions. First up, national treatment: ARTICLE [3] NATIONAL TREATMENT 1. Each Party shall accord to investors of the other Party and to their investments, treatment
Simon Lester 20 May 2015 3 min read

Madrid Arbitration Day on WTO/ISDS

If you are in or near Madrid, there is an interesting seminar on the WTO and investment arbitration, this Friday, May 22.  Details here and here: Policy development challenges with WTO dispute settlement and international arbitration: why is the interface between trade and investment relevant from a political, economic and
Simon Lester 20 May 2015 1 min read

The COOL Article 21.5 AB Report

It is here.  No big changes from the panel report: still a violation of TBT Article 2.1, and still no violation of TBT Article 2.2.  Next up on the agenda, most likely, is an arbitration over the proper amount of retaliation. I'm trying to sort out
Simon Lester 18 May 2015 2 min read

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International Economic Law and Policy Blog

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A law of many meanings: Exchange Actions under the GATT and IMF

Earlier this week, Simon Lester posted about the EU’s concerns with the undervaluation of the Chinese currency. He situated the recent demands for trade restrictions against a longstanding debate about the function of GATT Article XV:4.
25 Jun 2026 7 min read

Does The EU Need Its Own Section 301 To Counter China's Distortions?

Recently, economists Sander Tordoir and Brad Setser suggested that the EU may need its own version of Section 301 in order to "confront China’s systemic distortions beyond piecemeal trade defence."
17 Jun 2026 7 min read

The Section 301 Forced Labor Import Ban Report

On June 2, 2026, USTR released its report on its Section 301 investigation into acts, policies, and practices of various economies related to the failure to impose and effectively enforce a prohibition on the importation of goods produced with forced labor.
04 Jun 2026 11 min read

What To Expect from the USMCA Review?

The USMCA review is almost upon us. How exactly things will proceed is a bit unclear, as we've never done this sort of thing before, but July 1 is the six year anniversary of the USMCA's entry into force.
03 Jun 2026 15 min read

China in the World Trading System: A Response to Chad, and Some Comments on Froman-Greer

I'm going to use this post to (1) respond to Chad and (2) comment on an exchange between current U.S. Trade Rep. Jamieson Greer and former U.S. Trade Rep. Mike Froman at a recent CFR event.
01 Jun 2026 7 min read

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