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The ITC's USMCA Report: The ISDS Section

This is the ISDS section of the ITC's USMCA report (starts on p. 199, footnotes omitted): Modeling of Changes to Key ISDS Provisions The Commission’s quantitative assessment of the ISDS provisions sought to identify how the changes in ISDS provisions could affect the U.S. economy as
Simon Lester 18 Apr 2019 7 min read

Highlights of the ITC Report on the USMCA's "Likely Impact on the U.S. Economy and on Specific Industry Sectors"

Here's the headline number from today's ITC report on the impact of USMCA: The Commission’s model estimates that USMCA would raise U.S. real GDP by $68.2 billion (0.35 percent) and U.S. employment by 176,000 jobs (0.12 percent). The model
Simon Lester 18 Apr 2019 4 min read

Peremptory Challenges during Panelist Composition in NAFTA 2.0

This is from the dispute settlement chapter of USMCA (Inu pointed it out to me): Article 31.9: Panel Composition ... 3. A panelist shall normally be selected from the roster. A disputing Party may exercise a peremptory challenge against an individual not on the roster who is proposed as a
Simon Lester 18 Apr 2019 1 min read

Can Special and Differential Treatment Reduce Poverty?

In January, the Trump Administration attacked the use of special and differential treatment (SDT), by virtue of developing country status, by China, India, Brazil, and a number of other countries (not to mention Singapore, South Korea, and Israel).  The argument, focusing on China, is that China is the world’s
Trachtman 18 Apr 2019 2 min read

In USMCA Ratification Fight, It's Much Ado about Labor

Congressional Democrats are starting to flex their muscles against President Trump’s trade policy. As ratification of the U.S.-Mexico-Canada Agreement (USMCA) hangs in the balance, House Speaker Nancy Pelosi and other prominent Democrats have called on U.S. Trade Representative Robert Lighthizer to strengthen enforcement of the pact.
Inu Manak 17 Apr 2019 6 min read

Three Scenarios for the Future of the WTO Appellate Body, or: Why WTO Members Should Start Negotiating a DSU 2.0

A fundamental uncertainty bedevils attempts to unblock the appointment process of WTO Appellate Members: is the US holding up Appellate Body appointments in order to generate enough leverage for a negotiated reform of WTO dispute settlement? Or does the US seek to abolish the Appellate Body (in effect if not
Nicolas Lamp 15 Apr 2019 5 min read

Business Reactions to Trade Wars

There is a Chinese saying that “when there is a policy from the above, there is a reaction from the below” (“上有政策, 下有对策”). This is exactly what has happened since the inception of trade wars.  Both domestic and international businesses have attempted to avoid the punitive tariffs through various means,
Sungjoon Cho 14 Apr 2019 1 min read

Shaffer and Gao on China's Marshall Plan

Greg Shaffer and Henry Gao have a new paper called "A New Chinese Economic Law Order?" Here is the abstract: China is incrementally developing a new, decentralized model of trade governance through a web of finance, trade, and investment initiatives involving memorandum of understandings, contracts, and trade and
Simon Lester 14 Apr 2019 3 min read

Celebrating 30 years of TPRM but noting it could be much better

It is great to see the WTO’s news item on 12 April celebrating the 30th anniversary of the Trade Policy Review Mechanism (see https://www.wto.org/english/news_e/news19_e/tpr_12apr19_e.htm   and https://www.wto.org/english/tratop_e/tpr_e/tprm30_e.htm
Brett Williams 13 Apr 2019 1 min read

Book Release: Building Legal Capacity for a More Inclusive Globalization

This is from the Center for Trade and Economic Integration (CTEI) at the Graduate Institute in Geneva: The Center for Trade and Economic Integration (CTEI) at the Graduate Institute in Geneva announces the release of a new edited book by Joost Pauwelyn and Mengyi Wang, entitled "Building Legal Capacity
Inu Manak 13 Apr 2019 2 min read

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The Section 301 Surge Continues: Investigating the Adoption/Enforcement/Administration of Forced Labor Import Bans

This Section 301 investigation intends to pressure all sixty named trade partners (even, inexplicably, including Canada and Mexico) to adopt similar enforcement procedures. This announcement is highly problematic for the four reasons I address below.
16 Mar 2026 4 min read

The Section 301 Surge Is Upon Us: Investigating Excess Capacity and Production

The first of a large batch of expected Section 301 investigations has arrived, as USTR announced yesterday that it was initiating investigations on acts, policies, and practices of various countries/economies "relating to structural excess capacity and production in manufacturing sectors."
12 Mar 2026 3 min read

Debunking the "Hyperglobalization" Trade Policy Myth

Policy is often shaped by narratives, and recently there has been a bipartisan effort to create a narrative that, starting in the early 1990s, globalization and free trade went too far.
03 Mar 2026 8 min read

Guest Post: Are President Trump’s New Section 122 Tariffs Legal?

This is a guest post from Bryan Riley and Joe Bishop-Henchman. Bryan is Director of the Free Trade Initiative at the National Taxpayers Union; Joe is Executive Vice President at the National Taxpayers Union Foundation President Trump has issued new 10% tariffs, shortly after raised to 15%, based on Section
24 Feb 2026 6 min read

Section 122 as a (Partial) Replacement for the IEEPA Tariffs

Apparently, this is the era of dusting off old international economic policy statutes and figuring out what they mean and how they work. After the Supreme Court's ruling today in Learning Resources, holding that "IEEPA does not authorize the President to impose tariffs," we are now
20 Feb 2026 5 min read

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