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Does the Trump Administration Want a Strong or a Weak Dollar?

In a recent post, I brought up some of CEA Chair Stephen Miran's comments on the role of the dollar as the reserve currency, and wondered what the Trump administration's plans were on the value of the dollar: ... [Miran] makes clear that he wants the dollar
Simon Lester 13 May 2025 3 min read

The "General Terms" of the U.S.-UK Trade Deal: A Few Answers, Still Lots of Questions

On Thursday, U.S. and UK officials held a press conference on a new trade deal, and issued some press releases, remarks, and fact sheets, as well as a "General Terms for the United States of America and the United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland Economic Prosperity
Simon Lester 11 May 2025 11 min read

The Second MPIA Appeal

The second appeal of a WTO panel report to the MPIA is underway in the China - IPRs Enforcement (EU) dispute (DS611). It will be interesting to see what approach the arbitrators take in terms of their scrutiny of the panel report. On the fairly technical IP issues that were
Simon Lester 04 May 2025 1 min read

More on Charming Betsy

In my last post, I raised the possibility that Charming Betsy could play a role in the challenges to the Trump administration's IEEPA tariffs. (There have been three new complaints filed since that post: State of Oregon v. Trump, Learning Resources v. Trump, and Princess Awesome v. CBP.
Simon Lester 27 Apr 2025 5 min read

The IEEPA Lawsuits and Charming Betsy

By my count, so far there have been five lawsuits filed in U.S. court related to either the IEEPA fentanyl tariffs or the IEEPA "reciprocal"/universal tariffs: - Barnes v. U.S., CIT (complaint) (fentanyl tariffs) - Emily Ley Paper v. Trump, U.S. district court, N.
Simon Lester 20 Apr 2025 4 min read

Dark Globalization: Authoritarian Arbitrage in the Case of Kilmar Abrego Garcia

One dimension of the current case of Kilmar Abrego Garcia concerns the dark side of globalization:  arbitrage by authoritarians to subvert constitutional and human rights protections. Abrego Garcia has been strategically disenfranchised through jurisdictional arbitrage implemented by physical transfer to El Salvador.  If he remained in the U.S., he
Trachtman 18 Apr 2025 1 min read

Questions About the Upcoming Trade Deals

There have been a lot of U.S. tariffs in recent months, and it's getting hard to keep track of them all. This post deals with the IEEPA "reciprocal tariffs" announced on April 2, rather than the earlier IEEPA fentanyl tariffs or the various Section 232
Simon Lester 16 Apr 2025 2 min read

Stephen Miran on the U.S. Providing Global Public Goods

Last week, Stephen Miran, the Chairman of the Council of Economic Advisers, gave a speech at the Hudson Institute in which he explained that the U.S. deserved compensation for certain "global public goods" it provides to the world. In his opening remarks, he identified two such public
Simon Lester 13 Apr 2025 6 min read

Guest Post: Japan Signals a Possible Shift Away from the WTO Dispute Settlement System in Response to U.S. “Reciprocal Tariffs”

This is a guest post from Yoshimichi Ishikawa, Associate Professor, University of Shizuoka, Japan For decades, Japan has adhered to the principle that trade disputes should be addressed strictly within the WTO dispute settlement framework. This long-standing position may now be facing a turning point. On April 2, 2025, the
Simon Lester 08 Apr 2025 2 min read

Andrew P. Vance Memorial Writing Competition Call for Papers

This is from the Customs and International Trade Bar Association (CITBA) and Georgetown Law School The Customs and International Trade Bar Association (CITBA) and Georgetown Law School are pleased to announce 2024-2025 Andrew P. Vance Memorial writing Competition. The competition is welcoming papers with an in-depth analysis of a current
Simon Lester 06 Apr 2025 1 min read

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Is Section 122 of the 1974 Trade Act a Fall-Back Option for Trump to Impose Tariffs?

Without IEEPA authority, as we have all discussed, where there is a will, there is a way. In all likelihood, this way involves the expanded use of other statutory authorities, such as Section 232 of the 1962 Trade Expansion Act and Section 301 of the Trade Act of 1974. In
07 Nov 2025 4 min read

Roundup of IEEPA Hearing Commentary

I listened to today's Supreme Court hearing on the IEEPA tariff cases, but it was clear to me that I am not well-positioned to offer good insights on how the Court might rule. (The transcript is here if anyone wants to give this kind of tea leaf reading a shot themselves).
05 Nov 2025 8 min read

Economic and National Security Provisions in U.S. Trade Agreements

A few weeks ago, I wrote a post cautioning everyone to "Beware the 'Securitization' of Trade Policy." So far, however, it looks like my post has been a big failure, as many people seem to be throwing caution to the wind, and instead of being wary
03 Nov 2025 4 min read

Some Questions about the Cambodia and Malaysia Trade Deals

The White House released the texts of trade agreements with Cambodia and Malaysia today. I have lots of questions about this.
26 Oct 2025 3 min read

How Should the U.S. Respond To China's Non-Market Practices?

In an interview last week, Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent talked about the Trump administration's response to China's non-market practices. Part of this response, as he presents it, has been for the U.S. to pursue a specific version of state-led industrial policy as a defensive measure.
20 Oct 2025 5 min read

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