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The USMCA Review (If the USMCA Survives!) Needs To Address the National Security Loophole

I don't know if the USMCA is going to survive all the U.S. tariffs on Canada and Mexico, along with the Canadian and Mexican retaliation. Will the agreement make it to the USMCA review next year? We'll see. If we do make it though, I
Simon Lester 13 Mar 2025 2 min read

Will a "Zombie USMCA" Survive the Tariff Onslaught?

With all the tariffs imposed by the Trump administration on Canada and Mexico (under IEEPA already, under Section 232 soon, maybe under Section 301, and various other possibilities as well), and with the Canadian and Mexican tariff retaliation, how much is left of the USMCA? In economic terms, the creation
Simon Lester 09 Mar 2025 2 min read

Trump on Reciprocal Tariffs

In last night's address to Congress, Trump said the following about reciprocal tariffs: Other countries have used tariffs against us for decades, and now it's our turn to start using them against those other countries. On average, the European Union, China, Brazil, India, Mexico and Canada
Simon Lester 05 Mar 2025 3 min read

Free Speech and Trade Policy

In my last post, I briefly mentioned this point about free speech from Trump's recent memo on "Defending American Companies and Innovators From Overseas Extortion and Unfair Fines and Penalties": The Secretary of the Treasury, the Secretary of Commerce, and the United States Trade Representative shall
Simon Lester 25 Feb 2025 2 min read

How the US Reciprocal Tariff Plan Could Save the WTO

The US plan to impose reciprocal tariffs is a game changer. If you ask The Economist, Trump’s tariffs “really mean chaos for global trade”. We submit that, if managed well, the opposite could be true: a new balance in global trade and the revival of the World Trade Organization
Joost Pauwelyn 24 Feb 2025 6 min read

The Trump Administration's New Push on Foreign Digital Taxes and Regulations

I have done a number of posts over the years on what U.S. trade officials mean when they talk about foreign digital taxes and regulations "discriminating" against U.S. companies. Are they talking about the intent of the measure or just its effect? On the latter, is
Simon Lester 22 Feb 2025 4 min read

Lighthizer's Proposal for the Trading System

Former U.S. Trade Representative Robert Lighthizer had a recent NY Times op-ed in which he argues for some big changes to the trading system. He starts off by complaining about other governments' industrial policies: What brought down the postwar trading order was the rise in many countries of
Simon Lester 17 Feb 2025 4 min read

Some Quick Thoughts on "Reciprocal Trade and Tariffs"

I'm going to flesh this out a bit more later, but I wanted to post something now on today's Trump administration memo on reciprocal trade and tariffs, which involves agency investigations of "the harm to the United States from any non-reciprocal trade arrangements adopted by
Simon Lester 13 Feb 2025 3 min read

Tooze vs. Tai on the Political Impact of the Biden Administration's Policies

At a recent conference in Brussels, on a panel entitled "The Battleground for Global Economic Domination: What's Ahead for Europe, as the US and China Fight for Supremacy?", Adam Tooze of Columbia University and former U.S. Trade Rep. Katherine Tai had an exchange on the
Simon Lester 11 Feb 2025 4 min read

Notes from the Jamieson Greer Hearing

Jamieson Greer had his Senate nomination hearing yesterday. Here are a few exchanges that I found to be of interest. Historical Examples of Successful Universal Tariffs Senator Ron Wyden (D-OR) asked a great question about the historical record of universal tariffs, which is something that Trump has talked about: Wyden:
Simon Lester 07 Feb 2025 9 min read

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Is Section 122 of the 1974 Trade Act a Fall-Back Option for Trump to Impose Tariffs?

Without IEEPA authority, as we have all discussed, where there is a will, there is a way. In all likelihood, this way involves the expanded use of other statutory authorities, such as Section 232 of the 1962 Trade Expansion Act and Section 301 of the Trade Act of 1974. In
07 Nov 2025 4 min read

Roundup of IEEPA Hearing Commentary

I listened to today's Supreme Court hearing on the IEEPA tariff cases, but it was clear to me that I am not well-positioned to offer good insights on how the Court might rule. (The transcript is here if anyone wants to give this kind of tea leaf reading a shot themselves).
05 Nov 2025 8 min read

Economic and National Security Provisions in U.S. Trade Agreements

A few weeks ago, I wrote a post cautioning everyone to "Beware the 'Securitization' of Trade Policy." So far, however, it looks like my post has been a big failure, as many people seem to be throwing caution to the wind, and instead of being wary
03 Nov 2025 4 min read

Some Questions about the Cambodia and Malaysia Trade Deals

The White House released the texts of trade agreements with Cambodia and Malaysia today. I have lots of questions about this.
26 Oct 2025 3 min read

How Should the U.S. Respond To China's Non-Market Practices?

In an interview last week, Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent talked about the Trump administration's response to China's non-market practices. Part of this response, as he presents it, has been for the U.S. to pursue a specific version of state-led industrial policy as a defensive measure.
20 Oct 2025 5 min read

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