From Australian law professor Matthew Rimmer:
The Ukraine would have more chance of winning the UEFA (Union of European Football Association) football competition then they would of winning this WTO action.
Is that an accurate assessment? Is he underestimating the chances? Or is that just about right?
How do the chances of success at the WTO compare to those under the investment treaty claim brought by Philip Morris? My sense is that the outcome of investment treaty claims is a lot less certain. If the WTO complaint is rejected, but Philip Morris wins its claim, it will be interesting to compare the different approaches.
ADDED:
For added context, if I'm reading this correctly, Ukraine's odds of winning the football are about 40-1.